Does Kerry Meier have a Johnny Knox-type season in him? (source: FantasyCollegeBlitz and YardBarker)

Best Case Scenario: Falcons' Wide Receiver Kerry Meier

(source: FantasyCollegeBlitz and YardBarker)

We continue with part two of this seven-part series detailing the best case scenarios for the Atlanta Falcons’ 2010 draft picks. We covered safety Shann Schillinger yesterday and today we direct our attention to the Falcons’ fifth round draft pick: wide receiver Kerry Meier.

Using data from the last 10 NFL drafts (2000-2009), I focused on wide receivers drafted in the fifth round to give us an idea of what Meier’s ideal rookie season might look like. What have players, who play his position and were drafted in the same round, done in the last 10 years?

Hit the jump for the comparison.

Top rookie campaigns for fifth round Wide Receivers since 2000.

Player Team Year Stats
Johnny Knox Bears 2009 Played in 15 games for a 7-9 team. Caught 45 passes for 527 yards and five touchdowns. Also returned 32 kicks for 927 yards and one touchdown.

That’s it. That’s the list. Unlike Schillinger, Meier doesn’t have a lot of company when it comes to wide receivers draft in the fifth round who went on to have a “successful” rookie campaign.

Will Meier’s case be different? Does he have what it takes to put together a “Johnny Knox-type” season? Where will he fit on the depth chart?

Let me know your thoughts in the comments or continue the conversation on Twitter.

More on Blogging Dirty

Picturing Kerry Meier in a Falcons jersey

My thoughts on Meier after the draft

Related Links

The Bird Cage’s Dawson Devitt asks what role Meier will have

D. Orlando Ledbetter’s Q & A with Meier

The Falcoholic’s draft profile of Meier

Next Falcons Game View full schedule »
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Tags: 2010 NFL Draft Atlanta Falcons Chicago Bears Johnny Knox Kerry Meier

  • Doug

    Why would you use gray type on a gray and black background??? I guess you don’t want anyone to be able to read the article. . .

    • Troy Heinzman

      Hi Doug. I appreciate you stopping by. I apologize for the issues you are having reading the site. I haven’t been able to re-create your problem but will look into it. This is what the site looks like to me:



      Can you let me know what OS and browser you are using so I can troubleshoot?

  • Mchambers52

    I could see it happen, but we would need to really improve the pass game. Even with Douglas out last year, we didn’t get a whole lot of yards out of Weems and Booker. With the setbacks we had last year, I’d like to compare our offense to 2008 which was run heavy. I think Meier can have some good games and plays, but none of our #2 or #3 WR’s have done a whole lot. Seems like Mularkey would rarely have more than White and Jenkins on the field.

    • Troy Heinzman

      Great points all around. Over the last 5 seasons the Falcons have more rushing yards than any team in the NFL. And when it comes to passing the ball, they have tunnel vision for Roddy and Tony G. Those players accounted for 55% of the targets and 52% of the yards last season, a league high for 2 players. So you’re absolutely right, for Meier to match Johnny Knox’s production he would have to earn the #2 spot.

      • Mchambers52

        Knox was helped out by not having any real WR’s to compete with and a poor run game. If we keep it up with all the 2 TE sets he won’t get too much of a chance to see the field. I’d like to see him get the chance, but even HD only managed a couple hundred yards in his first year.

        • Troy Heinzman

          Yeah it’s all situational based but who do you think will have more catches in this offense at the end of the year: Douglas or Meier? And do you think one of them is Jenkins eventual replacement or have we not met his replacement yet?

  • Mchambers52

    Jenkins has a position, but as soon as we get a semi-competent blocker, I dunno where Jenks would fit. I think with one more solid year of drafting he will be replaced and won’t finish out his contract.

    If Douglas is healthy, he has more catches. Assuming Jenkins is above Meier on the depth chart, Meier would be the 4th WR. I’m sure he will see the field, but I wouldn’t expect more than a few hundred years his rookie year. His biggest input would likely be special teams unless he shows pure greatness on the field.

    If our line improves protection, we should be able to open up to more 3, 4, and 5 wide WR sets, which would get him more reps. I wonder if he is above Weems.

    • Troy Heinzman

      I can see the Falcons opening up their offense in 2011 after Tony G. retires (I do think this will be his last year at least as a full time starter). So the need for a true #2 receiver will be more of a focus. I haven’t seen a depth chart since before mini camp but D. Orlando Ledbetter had it as this:

      WR – 1. Roddy White, 2. Brian Finneran, 3. Kerry Meier

      WR – 1. Michael Jenkins, 2. Harry Douglas, 3. Eric Weems

      They’re not grouped so it’s hard to say if Meier is ahead of Weems but I haven’t heard a lot of positive about Weems making the team.

      • Mchambers52

        LOL, this is why I wanted a DE with that first pick, because Abe will be gone soon.

        I wonder if we try and get another pass catching TE or if we just go WR. Obviously, we will need both, but Mularkey, if he is still our OC, loves himself some TE’s.

        HD certainly showed some greatness, to the point most think he should be the #2. He could certainly be our #2 target, and we do have some time to add a great player before Gonzo is gone. With the depth of this draft, I am excited to see what Meier can do.

        • Troy Heinzman

          I agreed with you on the DE pick and was really surprised they didn’t grab one. But all the 2011 mock drafts show the field is full of top end DE’s so maybe TD was thinking they could squeeze one more year out of Abe and fill the void next year. I guess we’ve mapped out their 2011 draft for the first three rounds already: DE, WR, TE. I just haven’t seen enough (who has really) to think Douglas could be the #2. I like him playing in the slot and matched up against a nickel back or a safety, but hopefully he can prove me wrong because he is with Norwood when it comes to excitement.