Part five of our seven-part series detailing the best case scenarios for the Atlanta Falcons’ 2010 draft picks continues with their third round draft pick: Offensive Lineman Mike Johnson.
Using data from the last 10 NFL drafts (2000-2009), I focused on offensive lineman drafted in the third round to give us an idea of what Johnson’s ideal rookie season might look like. What have players, who play his position and were drafted in the same round, done in the last 10 years?
Hit the jump for the comparison.
Top rookie campaigns for third round Offensive Lineman since 2000.
|Louis Vasquez||Chargers||2009||Started 14 games for a 13-3 team.|
|Nick Hardwick||Chargers||2004||Started 14 games for a 12-4 team.|
|Richie Incognito||Rams||2006||Started 16 games for an 8-8 team.|
|Wade Smith||Dolphins||2003||Started 16 games for a 10-6 team.|
|John St. Clair||Rams||2002||Started 16 games for a 7-9 team.|
Okay, maybe we don’t want him to channel Incognito’s post-rookie career, but the rest of the options are sound. I really liked this pick and think Johnson could be a big-time contributor this year and a starter in 2011. If he can play like any of the guys on this list, that timetable could be moved up.
Will Johnson start any games this year? Will he be used in a rotation with the other starters? Was this pick made solely looking towards next year?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments or continue the conversation on Twitter.
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