NFL.com’s projected win total for the Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons schedule has officially been released, and while we already knew this before, they do not have an easy schedule at all. They play numerous playoff-caliber teams throughout the season, and for a rebuilding team, that is not good.

NFL.com’s Analytics Expert, Cynthia Frelund, has put together projected win totals for each team in the NFL.

A look at how many games the Atlanta Falcons are projected to win

As mentioned before, Cynthia Fredlund has put together her analytical projections on how many wins the Falcons are projected to win during the 2022 NFL season.

As expected, the Falcons are near the bottom of the league as they are starting a rebuild of their roster. The good news is that they are not at the bottom among the NFC South teams, but the bad news is that they are second-to-last in the NFC and third-to-last in the entire league.

Her projections have them at 5.5 wins on the year. This is not surprising at all, as the team lost their top two receivers and their franchise quarterback, all while they already had a depleted roster that could barely win seven games last season.

Here is what she said about the Atlanta Falcons:

"My models put the Falcons ahead of the Panthers by season’s end due to higher projected QB production. Three of the Falcons’ four hardest non-divisional opponents are on the road but well-spaced out (Rams, Week 2; Bengals, Week 7; Ravens, Week 16), with their home tilt against the Chargers in Week 9 sandwiched between games against Carolina."

Certainly, the Panthers and Falcons have two of the worst quarterback situations in the NFL, but she expects the Falcons to have better production from the most important position. This is in large part due to Arthur Smith and how well he works with quarterbacks.

Only the Houston Texans (4.3 wins) and the Carolina Panthers (5.1 wins) have lower projections.

When it comes to the rest of the NFC South, the Buccaneers have 11.7 projected wins and the Saints sit with 8.4 wins. The Bucs have the highest total in the NFL while the Bills lead the AFC with 11.6 projected wins.

Hopefully, we are all surprised with the product the Falcons put out on the field, but for now, there is reason to be pessimistic.