NFL picks Week 4: Falcons-Texans and every other game

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Sep 27, 2015; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) scrambles out of the pocket against the Chicago Bears during the fourth quarter at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Browns at San Diego Chargers (-9)

Cleveland has too many problems to give me confidence in them. At home, the Chargers will be too strong for the struggling Browns, whether they are with Josh McCown or Johnny Football. The Browns get two late touchdowns and convert both two-point tries.

Pick: San Diego 28, Cleveland 16

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-7.5)

Arizona might be the best team in the NFC right now. Carson Palmer and the offense have been dominant, posting 126 points in three games. While the Rams defense will pose a tougher challenge than what they have faced so far, the Cards will be too strong.

Pick: Arizona 31, St. Louis 12

Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos (-7)

The battle between Adrian Peterson and the dominant Broncos defense will be fun to watch, but I’m going with the home team. Peterson will need to carry his team to victory, but Peyton Manning and the offense will find a way to get it done… again.

Pick: Denver 17, Minnesota 12

Green Bay Packers (-9.5) at San Francisco 49ers

Aaron Rodgers has thrown 10 touchdowns and no interceptions so far this season, and he has picked apart two of the league’s best defenses without Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams, and with a limited Eddie Lacy. The 49ers are stronger at home, but the Pack is too strong.

Pick: Green Bay 35, San Francisco 20

Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints (NO LINE)

Drew Brees is likely to be back, and if he is I’m picking him over Brandon Weeden. Without Tony Romo or Dez Bryant, the Cowboys need to steady the ship. Weeden will line up against an awful defense, but the Saints pick up their first win here.

Pick: New Orleans 24, Dallas 17

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks (-10)

On paper these are two excellent teams, so it’s incredible they only have one win between them after three games. To beat the Seahawks in Seattle, you need to be able to run the football and play defense. Through three weeks, the Lions can’t do either. Season over for Jim Caldwell’s team.

Pick: Seattle 27, Detroit 12

Last week: 14-2
Season: 31-17

Next: NFL Power Rankings entering Week 4