NFL picks Week 11: Falcons-Colts and every other game

Nov 23, 2014; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) throws during the fourth quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at TCF Bank Stadium. The Packers defeated the Vikings 24-21. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at San Diego Chargers

The Chiefs (4-5) are on a roll, and the Chargers (2-7) have been all over the place. This seems like a slip-up game, but I’m not brave enough to pick San Diego.

Pick: Kansas City 21, San Diego 19

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (EVEN)

Green Bay (6-3) has lost three straight and can’t get anything going on offense. The Minnesota (6-3) defense is for real, and Adrian Peterson will cause the Packers run defense a ton of problems. It doesn’t seem real, but the Pack will lose a fourth straight.

Pick: Minnesota 26, Green Bay 14

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-13.5)

Seattle (4-5) has been struggling against good teams, but they have comfortably beaten the underachievers. At home to San Francisco (3-6), they will get back on track. This one will be a shutout.

Pick: Seattle 24, San Francisco 0

Cincinnati Bengals at Arizona Cardinals (-4)

The Bengals (8-1) looked unbeatable, but they were awful against the Texans. After going unbeaten for half of the season, they will lose a second straight against a talented Cardinals (7-2) team.

Pick: Arizona 30, Cincinnati 20

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-7.5)

Buffalo (5-4) has been good in recent weeks, but it’s hard to see them taking down an undefeated New England (9-0) team at home. Pats roll on.

Pick: New England 28, Buffalo 20

Last week: 5-9
Season: 88-57